The NASCAR Cup Series hits Sonoma and the Sonoma Road Course at the Toyota Save Mart 350. It's time to continue our NASCAR Cup Series odds series with a NASCAR Cup Series at Sonoma Toyota Save Mart 350 prediction and pick.
It is just the second trip to a road course this year, with the first one being a Circuit of the Americas. This is a two-mile track, which is shorter than COTA< but does have 12 turns, and elevation changes similar to COTA. Sonoma has been replaced recently, so recent trends may not be the best indicator, but should give an idea of how racers will perform on the track. Last year, it was Martin Truex Jr. who took the win at Sonoma, with Kyle Busch finishing second.
Here are the NASCAR Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
NASCAR Odds: Cup Series at Sonoma Odds
Martin Truex Jr.: +550
William Byron: +750
Ty Gibbs: +750
Kyle Larson: +750
Christopher Bell: +750
Tyler Reddick: +850
Chase Elliott: +850
AJ Allmendinger: +1300
Michael McDowell: +1400
Chris Buescher: +1400
Denny Hanlin: +2000
Ross Chastain: +2200
Daniel Suarez: +2200
Austin Cindric: +2200
Will Brown: +2800
Ryan Blaney: +2800
Kyle Busch: +2800
How to Watch Cup Series at Sonoma
TV: FOX
Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
*Watch Nascar LIVE with fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Favorites To Win Cup Series at Sonoma
The defending champion, Martin Truex Jr. leads the odds board for this year's race at Sonoma. Truex has been wonderful, in general at Sonoma. Not only did he win last year, after leading 51 laps, he has been solid at Sonomar since 2016. Since the 2016 race, he has three wins, a third-place finish, and a fifth-placed finish. Truez was well on his way to another great finish in 2017, leading 25 laps and sitting in first after stage one, but engine failure ended his race that year and he finished 37th. Since 021, Truez has finished inside the top ten in eight of the 19 road races, with his lone win being at Sonoma.
Ty Gibbs is high on the odds board but did not have a great race on his only trip to Sonoma. Last year, he started sixth and would be in eighth after the first stage. Still, he would finish 18th. One reason for the high regard though is his recent work on road courses. Earlier this year, Gibbs finished third at COTA and has been in the top five in each of the last three road races. Gibbs also has a top-five finish at Sonoma in the Xfinity series, and one of his Xfinity series wins is on a road course.
Kyle Larson comes in a little further down the board than normal. Larson has started very well at Sonoma. Since 2017, he has raced here six times in the Cup Series and started on the pole in five of them. Still, he has just one win in those times. It has been later race issues that have slowed Larson down. In the five races he started on the pole, he has been in the top five after the first stage in all five of them but would be in the top six after stage two just twice. Once was the year he won, and the other time he finished tenth. Last year, Larson started 16th but would work his way up to eight.
Tyler Reddick has not had good luck at Sonoma. Last year he finished 33rd, after starting second and being in sixth after the first stage. The year before that was a 35th-placed finish, and in 2021 he was 19th. Still, in the last two years, Sonoma has been his only bad road course. In 12 races on road courses in since 2022, he has led laps in eight of them, while finishing in the top ten in ten of them. The only non-top ten finishes were at Sonoma. Further, Reddick has won three times on road routes since 2022, including one at COTA.
Sleepers To Win Cup Series at Sonoma
AJ Allmendinger had his best race at Sonoma last year. He started fifth and would finish sixth last year. He has led laps in five of the last seven races on this track, and been in the top four at the end of stage one in three of the last four races. Still, he has been inside the top ten in just one of the last seven trips here. Allmendinger has a solid record on road courses though. He has been in the top six in each of his last three road course races, including a win at the Charlotte Roval last year. He has also been inside the top ten in eight of the last ten races on a road course.
Chris Buescher finished fourth last year at Sonoma, and that was after being a runner-up in 2022. Before that, he has been outside the top ten in the five other races at Sonoma in the Cup series. Still, Beuscher is great on road courses. Since 2022, he has had 12 races on road courses. He has been in the top ten in ten of the 12 races while finishing 11th and 21st in the other two.
Cup Series at Sonoma Prediction & Pick
Road races are highly unpredictable. With all of the turns and elevation changes, accidents can happen, and there is heavy wear on the cars. Still, there are plenty of quality plays. Different racers excel on road courses and make quality plays in this race.
Cup Series at Sonoma Prediction & Pick: Martin Truex Jr. Top Five (-135), Tyler Reddick Top Five (+110), Chris Buescher Top 5 (+180)